Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.749477 0.870045 1.000908 1.153129 1.324938 1.512457 1.732204
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.556750 0.718695 0.910482 1.152712 1.448683 1.796640 2.234585
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.454539 0.642163 0.881200 1.204144 1.624566 2.148413 2.844840
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.376739 0.576592 0.848022 1.236555 1.770092 2.467613 3.437197
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.331747 0.544368 0.849481 1.308120 1.966539 2.861939 4.152329
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.276855 0.486475 0.803811 1.303679 2.051996 3.107697 4.680524
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.230918 0.433305 0.755653 1.286152 2.111645 3.315879 5.164660
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.195405 0.390320 0.715986 1.274207 2.174222 3.527684 5.662419
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.172871 0.365503 0.701526 1.298722 2.292094 3.826003 6.302405
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.152482 0.340845 0.683448 1.313840 2.393949 4.103828 6.925081
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.134108 0.316692 0.662635 1.320889 2.481160 4.361852 7.529282
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.121668 0.302203 0.657257 1.353612 2.612554 4.696417 8.270119
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.107172 0.281277 0.637765 1.359956 2.701177 4.970767 8.937379
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.089692 0.250426 0.594622 1.317197 2.698986 5.093636 9.364747
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.082393 0.241757 0.595392 1.358870 2.852562 5.489317 10.266333
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.074927 0.231218 0.590697 1.388787 2.985844 5.856661 11.137890
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.071744 0.230965 0.608279 1.465512 3.212949 6.400851 12.338603
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.063158 0.214655 0.587554 1.459740 3.279291 6.660332 13.055304
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.054858 0.197276 0.561807 1.440093 3.315811 6.866260 13.685688
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.048029 0.182547 0.540186 1.426804 3.363114 7.093056 14.361885
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.044031 0.175525 0.536650 1.453786 3.494716 7.484182 15.353117
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.039967 0.167366 0.529057 1.470432 3.605374 7.840392 16.295005
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.035968 0.158465 0.518243 1.478194 3.697184 8.164190 17.189845